538

FiveThirtyEight.com provides an interesting snapshot of the Electoral College. The site weights the publicly available polls and runs 10000 simulations for each prediction.

The site's creator is Nate Silver, an amateur in politics who works for the respected statistics-based sports media company Baseball Prospectus.

Right now, 538 has Obama leading in the simulations with an average electoral vote count of 274.4 to McCain's 263.6.